THE HINDU Editorial Vocabulary- September 2, 2017- Topic 1
India’s economy continues to decelerate with the government’s estimatefor
first-quarter gross domestic product pegging growth at a 13-quarter low of 5.7%
in April-June. The reasons for the protracted slowdown — a slide of five
straight quarters from 9.1% in March 2016 — are many and varied. But there is
little doubt that the demonetisation exercise combined with the uncertainty
around the July 1 adoption of the new indirect tax regime served to
significantly dampen economic activity.
While the GST-related “inventory deaccumulation” that Chief Statistician T.C.A. Anant referred to may well be reversed in the current quarter as companies across sectors gain comfort with the new tax regime, it is still doubtful whether demand for industrial output is going to attain any meaningful strength. The Reserve Bank of India last month said that its industrial outlook survey had “revealed a waning of optimism in Q2 about demand conditions across parameters and especially on capacity utilisation, profit margins and employment.” A look at the sector-specific trends shows that manufacturing expansion in gross value added (GVA) terms has slackened to a near stall at 1.2%. This, from 5.3% in Q4 of the last fiscal and 10.7% a year earlier, is a far from heartening sign. With capacity utilisation expected to weaken this quarter, according to the RBI, and with surveys suggesting that consumer sentiment has deteriorated steadily in August, the auguries for a demand rebound are far from promising.
While the GST-related “inventory deaccumulation” that Chief Statistician T.C.A. Anant referred to may well be reversed in the current quarter as companies across sectors gain comfort with the new tax regime, it is still doubtful whether demand for industrial output is going to attain any meaningful strength. The Reserve Bank of India last month said that its industrial outlook survey had “revealed a waning of optimism in Q2 about demand conditions across parameters and especially on capacity utilisation, profit margins and employment.” A look at the sector-specific trends shows that manufacturing expansion in gross value added (GVA) terms has slackened to a near stall at 1.2%. This, from 5.3% in Q4 of the last fiscal and 10.7% a year earlier, is a far from heartening sign. With capacity utilisation expected to weaken this quarter, according to the RBI, and with surveys suggesting that consumer sentiment has deteriorated steadily in August, the auguries for a demand rebound are far from promising.
While expressing concern about the slower-than-expected expansion, the
Finance Minister has acknowledged that the challenge before the government now
is to work out both policy and investment measures to boost momentum. One
option would be to suspend the fiscal road map for a limited period in order to
pump prime the economy through increased capital spending by the government.
The risks of fiscal loosening are of course manifold, especially at a juncture
when several State governments have either announced or are contemplating
large-scale farm loan waivers, which would push up interest rates and crowd out
fresh lending. Still, there is a thin sliver of a silver lining in the GDP
data. The services sector continues to remain buoyant. Quarterly GVA across
this broad swathe that encompasses trade, hotels, transport, communication and
broadcasting accelerated to 11.1%, from 6.5% in the fourth quarter, faster than
the 8.9% posted in the corresponding period last year. The civil aviation
sector saw passenger traffic soaring by 15.6%, and construction activity, a
provider of jobs, also ticked up by 2%. The Finance Minister has his task cut
out: to find ways to restore momentum before the tailwinds of low inflation and
affordable energy prices start reversing direction.
Vocabulary
Decelerate: reduce speed; slow down.
Example: International growth rates decelerated in the early 1970s
Synonyms: slow down, slow up, ease up, slack up, reduce
speed
Peg: fix a price, rate, or
amount at a particular level.
Example: A student loan starts accruing interest from the moment it is borrowed, but
the interest rate is pegged to the retail price index.
Synonyms: hold down, keep down, fix, set, hold, freeze
Protracted: lasting for a long time or longer than expected or usual.
Example: A protracted and bitter dispute
Synonyms: prolonged, long-lasting, extended, long-drawn-out, spun
out, dragged out
Uncertainty: the state of being uncertain.
Example: Times of uncertainty and danger
Synonyms: unpredictability, unreliability, riskiness, chanciness, precariousness
Adoption: the
action or fact of adopting or being adopted.
Example: She gave up her children for adoption
Dampen: make
less strong or intense.
Example: Nothing could dampen her enthusiasm
Synonyms: lessen, decrease, diminish, reduce, moderate, damp, put
a damper on
Attain: succeed
in achieving something that one desires and has worked for.
Example: Clarify your objectives and ways of attaining them
Synonyms: achieve, accomplish, reach, obtain, gain, procure, secure, get
Optimism: hopefulness
and confidence about the future or the successful outcome of something.
Example: The talks had been amicable, and there were grounds for optimism
Synonyms: hopefulness, hope, confidence, buoyancy, cheer
Deteriorate: become progressively worse.
Example: Relations between the countries had deteriorated sharply
Synonyms: worsen, decline, degenerate, fail, slump, slip, go
downhill
Augury: a
sign of what will happen in the future; an omen.
Example: They heard the sound as an augury of death
Synonyms: omen, portent, sign, danger sign, foretoken
Manifold: many
and various.
Example: The implications of this decision were manifold
Contemplate: look thoughtfully for a long time at.
Example: He sat on the carpet contemplating his image in the mirrors
Synonyms: look
at, view, regard, examine, inspect, observe, survey, study
Buoyant: cheerful
and optimistic.
Example: The conference ended with the party in a buoyant mood
Synonyms: cheerful, cheery, happy, lighthearted, carefree, bright
Swathe: wrap
in several layers of fabric.
Example: His hands were swathed in bandages
Synonyms: wrap, envelop, bind, swaddle, bandage, cover, shroud
Tailwind: a
wind blowing in the direction of travel of a vehicle or aircraft; a wind
blowing from behind.
Example: A tailwind had brought the aircraft into the airport quicker than expected.
